The Housing Shortage Has Spread Through Middle America

A report by Up For Growth shares the transition from housing surplus to shortage in the years leading up to the pandemic.

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What was once an issue faced by only coastal cities, the housing shortage has spread rapidly throughout middle America. From 2012 to 2019, the shortage doubled and cities that once had a surplus began to see shortages, according to Washington-based policy and research group, Up for Growth’s latest report.

In the year leading into the pandemic, three-quarters of 310 metropolitan areas nationwide were already dealing with dwindling supply or growing deficits. The pandemic only emphasized the issue with rising rents and home prices.

In booming Boise, Idaho, Up for Growth estimated that the region already had a shortage of more than 13,000 housing units in 2019, using government data on housing and household formation. That’s equivalent to about 5 percent of the region’s housing stock. Athens, Ga., and Pensacola, Fla., had more than enough housing a decade ago, according to the analysis. By 2019 those cushions had vanished.

In both real and percentage terms, the shortfalls are more significant in some big metros: Los Angeles entered the pandemic needing nearly 400,000 additional homes; Miami, almost 200,000; and Washington about 150,000. Even Phoenix, known as a far easier place to build than coastal metros, had developed a deficit by 2019 of about 100,000 units.”

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