Amid Worsening Affordability, New-Home Sizes Trend Lower

After a brief increase during the post-COVID building boom, home sizes have been trending lower for the past five quarters.

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A Sydney, Australia-based builder offers buyers the chance to walk through the layout of their home before construction has begun.

Courtesy Adobe Stock/Direk Takmatcha

The average home size for single-family homes trended lower in the first quarter of 2023, continuing a shift in 2022 where the demand for smaller home sizes increased as housing affordability worsened. The past four quarters are a reversal of 2021, when remote or hybrid work environments promoted the desire for more residential living space.

According to first quarter 2023 data from the Census Quarterly Starts and Completions by Purpose and Design and NAHB analysis, median single-family square floor area registered at 2,261 square feet. Average (mean) square footage for new single-family homes stood at 2,469 square feet.

Since Great Recession lows (and on a one-year moving average basis), the average size of a new single-family home is now 4% higher at 2,486 square feet, while the median size is 7% higher at 2,262 square feet.

Home size rose from 2009 to 2015 as entry-level new construction lost market share. Home size declined between 2016 and 2020 as more starter homes were developed. After a brief increase during the post-covid building boom, home size is trending lower and will likely do so as housing affordability remains constrained.

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