Lower Interest Rates Spark Housing Demand in First Quarter of 2023

A record 18% of adults reported plans to purchase a home within a year, according to the NAHB’s Housing Trends Report.

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As mortgage interest rates retreated from 20-year peak levels during the first quarter of 2023, a record share of adults declared having plans to buy a home within a year, according to the NAHB Housing Trends Report. Eighteen percent of adults reported plans to buy a home in the next 12 months, the largest share since the inception of the Housing Trends Report in 2018.

The share of prospective buyers jumped five points in a single quarter, rising from 13% in the final quarter of 2022.

Relatively lower interest rates in the first quarter of 2023 also pushed more 1st-time home buyers to enter the market: 71% of all prospective buyers (a series-high) reported this would be their first time buying a home, up from 61% in the final quarter of 2022.

The share of adults with plans to buy a home in the next 12 months rose in all regions of the country between the final quarter of 2022 and the first quarter of 2023: Northeast (11% to 19%), Midwest (10% to 14%), South (14% to 17%), and West (14% to 23%).

Similarly, the 1st-timer share gained ground in all four regions between the fourth quarter of 2022 and the first quarter of 2023: Northeast (64% to 66%), Midwest (58% to 67%), South (60% to 68%), and West (62% to 75%).

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