NAHB: Builder Price Cuts and Incentives Offerings Not at 2008 Levels

While the percentage of builders reducing prices and offering sales incentives are relatively high compared with recent months, the NAHB says both percentages are well below levels seen during the 2007-2008 financial crisis.

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Thirty-six percent of single-family builders reported reducing prices and 59% reported offering sales incentives in November, according to survey data collected by the NAHB. Both numbers are significant increases from July, when only 13% of builders reported they had reduced prices and 43% offered sales incentives.

These percentages may seem relatively high but they are nowhere near as high as they were during the 2007-2008 financial crisis.

Even at 36%, however, the current percentage [of builders offering price cuts] doesn’t seem terribly high compared to May 2007 through March of 2008, when the share of builders cutting prices was consistently 48% or higher—as high as 59% in October of 2007. Among builders who did reduce their home prices, the average reduction was 5% in July of 2022, and 6% in the three surveys conducted since then. In the 2007-2008 crisis period, however, the average monthly reduction in house price was consistently 7% or higher—as high as 10% in February of 2008.

When the question was first asked In May of 1995 [on sales incentives], 74% of builders reported offering sales incentives. The percentage never fell below 50 until July of 2022, when it dipped to 43. Although many builders offer incentives as a matter or routine, the share does fluctuate somewhat in response to market conditions. During the latter part of 2022, the share of builders offering incentives increased from 43% in July to 53% in September and 59% in November. In the 2007-2008 crisis period, however, the share offering incentives was usually well over 70%—as high as 86% in December of 2008.

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